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COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, May 2019.
SPREP Publications, Climate Change Resilience
Available Online

Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Programme.

2019
The Pacific ocean and overlying atmosphere remain close to El Niño thresholds, so the ENSO outlook remains at El Niño watch.
COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, January 2019.
SPREP Publications, Climate Change Resilience
Available Online
2019
Recent observations and climate model outlooks suggest the immediate risk of El Nina has passed. However, there remains an increased likelihood that El Niño will develop later in 2019.
COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, October 2018.
SPREP Publications, Climate Change Resilience
Available Online
2018
The Bureau's ENSO Outlook remains at El Niño ALERT, indicating there is approximately a 70% chance of El Niño occurring in 2018, around triple the normal likelihood.
COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, September 2018.
SPREP Publications, Climate Change Resilience
Available Online
2018
The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. While climate models suggest some easing in the chance of El Niño in 2018, half of the surveyed models still indicate an event is possible.

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